Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Trade Plan - January 12, 2011


Nifty trades range bound after the big move of yesterday and it was consolidation around 4855 levels, which incidentally is the long term indicator of Fibonacci 55-day EMA.  There are a cluster of long term EMAs/SMAs  from 4850-4965 zone. VWAP @ close is 4868. Nifty closes at 4861.

1) With the break out above 4790 yesterday, the fresh trading zone will be now with support around 4810 and resistance at 4910 on spot prices. Nifty has consolidated around 4850 for one session now ahead of the results of IT major Infosys tomorrow. The level of 4865 remains the area to go long intra day. A gap up open above 4910 is another level to go long for target of 4980 intra day.
2) The level of 4810 is the support level and break of that will lead to further downside.
3) The INR is reverting to the mean levels now and this factor could likely increase some FII buying into Indian equity cash market for the short term at least and in that case Nifty can move towards 5150-5280 levels. This scenario will pan out only after 2-3 days trading sessions. At this point in time, the result of Infosys will set the tone tomorrow. With just around 10 sessions more left for January series expiry there is some more steam left in this series. Happy trading :)

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